2016

The Primary Effect: Preference Votes and Political Promotions

Reprint No. 2016:55

Author(s): Olle Folke, Torsten Persson and Johanna RickneYear: 2016 Title: American Political Science Review Volume (No.): 110 (3) Pages: 559–578
Online article (restrictions may apply)


In this analysis of how electoral rules and outcomes shape the internal organization of political parties, we make an analogy to primary elections to argue that parties use preference-vote tallies to identify popular politicians and promote them to positions of power. We document this behavior among parties in Sweden's semi-open-list system and in Brazil's open-list system. To identify a causal impact of preference votes, we exploit a regression discontinuity design around the threshold of winning the most preference votes on a party list. In our main case, Sweden, these narrow “primary winners” are at least 50% more likely to become local party leaders than their runners-up. Across individual politicians, the primary effect is present only for politicians who hold the first few positions on the list and when the preference-vote winner and runner-up have similar competence levels. Across party groups, the primary effect is the strongest in unthreatened governing parties.


Reference:
Folke, Olle, Torsten Persson and Johanna Rickne (2016), "The Primary Effect: Preference Votes and Political Promotions". American Political Science Review 110(3), 559–578.

Johanna Rickne

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Mob: +46 70 433 7388
johanna.rickne@ifn.se

Olle Folke

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Mob: +46 70 367 0242
olle.folke@statsvet.u...

Sick of Inequality?

An Introduction to the Relationship between Inequality and Health

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In this book Andreas Bergh, Therese Nilsson, IFN and Lund University, and Daniel Waldenström, IFN and Paris School of Economics, France, review the latest research on the relationship between inequality and health. What does inequality mean for our health? Does increasing income inequality affect outcomes such as obesity, life expectancy and subjective well-being?

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