We study the effect of prison sentences on recidivism using a unique feature of sentencing for drunk driving in the Swedish court system. Below the blood alcohol concentration (BAC) of 1.0‰, individuals are never sentenced to prison and above 1.0‰, the average number of days sentenced to prison is essentially linearly increasing with the BAC level. We find that being sentenced to prison for one month reduces reoffending in the next five years by approximately 80 percent.
Working Paper No. 1536
Sentence Length and Recidivism: Court Rulings based on BAC
Working Paper
Reference
Jansson, Joakim, Per Pettersson-Lidbom, Mikael Priks and Björn Tyrefors (2025). “Sentence Length and Recidivism: Court Rulings based on BAC”. IFN Working Paper No. 1536. Stockholm: Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN).
Jansson, Joakim, Per Pettersson-Lidbom, Mikael Priks and Björn Tyrefors (2025). “Sentence Length and Recidivism: Court Rulings based on BAC”. IFN Working Paper No. 1536. Stockholm: Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN).
Authors
Joakim Jansson, Per Pettersson-Lidbom, Mikael Priks,
Björn Tyrefors