2015

Promises, Policies and Pocketbook Voting

Reprint No. 2015:16

Author(s): Mikael Elinder, Henrik Jordahl and Panu PoutvaaraYear: 2015 Title: European Economic Review Volume (No.): 75 (April) Pages: 177–194

Promises, Policies and Pocketbook Voting Mikael Elinder, Henrik Jordahl and Panu Poutvaara


Do voters respond to political parties׳ promises or to their past actions? We use a suitable sequence of events in Swedish politics to provide the first answer to this question. In the 1994 election campaign the Social Democrats proposed major cuts in transfers to parents with young children, whereas in the 1998 campaign they promised to increase transfers. The Social Democrats won both elections and delivered on both promises. Using voting among parents with slightly older children as counterfactual, we find that voters with young children responded markedly to economic promises rather than to implemented policies.


Reference:
Elinder, Mikael, Henrik Jordahl and Panu Poutvaara (2015), "Promises, Policies and Pocketbook Voting". European Economic Review 75(April), 177–194.

Henrik Jordahl

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Ph: +46 8 665 4533
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henrik.jordahl@ifn.se

Mikael Elinder

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Ph: +46 18 471 1565
Mob: +46 70 769 0976
mikael.elinder@ifn.se

Interdisciplinary European Studies

The European Union in a Changing World Order

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This book explores how the European Union responds to the ongoing challenges to the liberal international order. These challenges arise both within the EU itself and beyond its borders, and put into question the values of free trade and liberal democracy. 

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