Working Paper No. 1378

Anticipation of COVID-19 Vaccines Reduces Social Distancing

Published: January 7, 2021Pages: 47Keywords: Economic epidemiology; Social distancing; Vaccination; InformationJEL-codes: I12; I18; D83; D91

Anticipation of COVID-19 Vaccines Reduces Social Distancing Ola Andersson, Pol Campos-Mercade, Armando N. Meier and Erik Wengström


We show that the anticipation of COVID-19 vaccines reduces voluntary social distancing. In a large-scale preregistered survey experiment with a representative sample, we study whether providing information about the safety, effectiveness, and availability of COVID-19 vaccines affects compliance with public health guidelines. We find that vaccine information reduces peoples’ voluntary social distancing, adherence to hygiene guidelines, and their willingness to stay at home. Vaccine information induces people to believe in a swifter return to normal life and puts their vigilance at ease. The results indicate an important behavioral drawback of the successful vaccine development: An increased focus on vaccines can lead to bad health behaviors and accelerate the spread of the virus. The results imply that, as vaccinations start and the end of the pandemic feels closer, existing policies aimed at increasing social distancing will be less effective and stricter policies might be required.


Reference:

Andersson, Ola, Pol Campos-Mercade, Armando N. Meier and Erik Wengström (2021). "Anticipation of COVID-19 Vaccines Reduces Social Distancing". IFN Working Paper No. 1378. Stockholm: Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN).

Ola Andersson

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ola.andersson@ifn.se

Interdisciplinary European Studies

The European Union and the Return of the Nation State

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This book explores the complex and ever-changing relationship between the European Union and its member states. The recent surge in tension in this relationship has been prompted by the actions of some member state governments as they question fundamental EU values and principles and refuse to implement common decisions seemingly on the basis of narrowly defined national interests.

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