2016

The Primary Effect: Preference Votes and Political Promotions

Särtryck nr 2016:55

Författare: Olle Folke, Torsten Persson och Johanna RickneÅr: 2016 Publikation: American Political Science Review Årgång (nr): 110 (3) Sidor: 559–578
Artikeln online (behörighet kan krävas)


In this analysis of how electoral rules and outcomes shape the internal organization of political parties, we make an analogy to primary elections to argue that parties use preference-vote tallies to identify popular politicians and promote them to positions of power. We document this behavior among parties in Sweden's semi-open-list system and in Brazil's open-list system. To identify a causal impact of preference votes, we exploit a regression discontinuity design around the threshold of winning the most preference votes on a party list. In our main case, Sweden, these narrow “primary winners” are at least 50% more likely to become local party leaders than their runners-up. Across individual politicians, the primary effect is present only for politicians who hold the first few positions on the list and when the preference-vote winner and runner-up have similar competence levels. Across party groups, the primary effect is the strongest in unthreatened governing parties.


Referens:
Folke, Olle, Torsten Persson och Johanna Rickne (2016), "The Primary Effect: Preference Votes and Political Promotions". American Political Science Review 110(3), 559–578.

Månadens forskare

Özge Öner, ekon.dr.

Ämnesområden:

Detaljhandel, infrastruktur, servicenäring, turism, urban och regional ekonomi.

Några av de frågor Özge Öner försöker besvara i sin forskning:

  • Analys av etniska enklaver och segregering på grannskapsnivå.
  • Migration och rörlighet inom och mellan lokala arbetsmarknader bland immigranter och inrikes födda.
  • Hur efterfrågan påverkas av avstånd och marknadstillgång inom olika delar av detaljhandeln och tjänstesektorn.

Institutet för Näringslivsforskning, Grevgatan 34 - 2 tr, Box 55665, SE-102 15 Stockholm, Sweden | Tel: +46-(0)8-665 45 00 | info@ifn.se