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Working Paper No. 1545
How Early Career Choices Adjust to Economic Crises
We study how students adjust their early career choices in response to economic crises and how these decisions affect their long-run labor market outcomes. Focusing on Sweden’s deep recession in the e…
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Working Paper No. 1544
Understanding Immigrant Self-Employment in Sweden: Insights from the Literature
We present results from research on different dimensions of immigrant self-employment in Sweden. There are variations in self-employment rates between different groups of immigrants and the native pop…
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Working Paper No. 1543
Must Capital Income Increase Long-Term Inequality? Evidence from Sweden 1991–2021
Capital income is known to increase income inequality when measured on an annual basis, but the role of personal capital income in long-run inequality is rarely studied. Theoretically, capital income…
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Working Paper No. 1542
In Pursuit of the Green Transition—Electricity at Any Cost?
We examine EU and UK plans for achieving a fossil-free energy system by 2050, centered on massive electrification and large-scale deployment of wind and solar power. Using empirical trends, cost analy…
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Working Paper No. 1541
Does Competition from For-Profit Firms Raise Wages for Preschool Workers?
We study the wage effects of an expansion of for-profit preschools in Sweden, which followed after a reform in 2006 removed municipalities’ right to veto private entry. The expansion decreased prescho…
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Working Paper No. 1540
Income and Employment for Immigrants and Immigrant-Dense Neighbourhoods in Sweden 1998–2022
This paper examines income and employment outcomes for immigrants in Sweden’s most immigrant-dense neighbourhoods between 1998 and 2022. While relative employment among immigrants has improved, relati…
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Working Paper No. 1539
Tax-Motivated Firm Splitting
How do corporate tax systems shape the boundaries of the firm? This paper shows that nonlinear corporate income taxation can distort firms’ organizational structures by inducing tax-motivated firm spl…
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Working Paper No. 1538
Ability, Not Heritage: Why Expanding University Access Often Fails to Narrow Intergenerational Educational Gaps
Many countries have established new local colleges to increase access to education for disadvantaged populations. However, many of these expansions have not reduced educational inequality. Drawing on…
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Working Paper No. 1534
Pre-AI Sorting, Post-AI Inequality: Generative AI and the Gender Wage Gap
We examine how gender-based occupational sorting before the release of ChatGPT relates to predicted exposure to generative AI and its potential implications for the gender wage gap. Using Swedish admi…
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Working Paper No. 1537
Multi-Product Supply Function Equilibria
We characterize Nash equilibria in multi-product markets in which producers commit to vectors of supply functions contingent on all prices. The framework accommodates (dis)economies of scope in produc…
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Working Paper No. 1536
Sentence Length and Recidivism: Court Rulings based on BAC
We study the effect of prison sentences on recidivism using a unique feature of sentencing for drunk driving in the Swedish court system. Below the blood alcohol concentration (BAC) of 1.0‰, individua…
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Working Paper No. 1535
A Simplified Klein–Spady Estimator for Binary Choice Models
One of the most cited studies within the field of binary choice models is that of Klein and Spady (1993), in which the authors propose an estimator that is not only non-parametric with respect to the…
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Working Paper No. 1533
Managerial Origin and Firms’ Demand for Labor Migrants: Evidence from Sweden
This paper examines how managerial background influences firms’ use of labor migration. Using Swedish data, we analyze whether firms led by foreign-born managers are more likely to apply for work perm…
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Working Paper No. 1532
Private Ownership and Pricing: Evidence from the Swedish District Heating Sector
I examine the pricing behavior of municipal and private firms in the unregulated Swedish district heating market, characterized by geographically bounded local monopoly networks. Conditional on exogen…
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Working Paper No. 1531
Local Corporate Taxation and Business Activity
We use a natural experiment and administrative data to study the effect of corporate tax cuts on business activity. For identification, we exploit the abolition of municipal corporate income taxation…
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Working Paper No. 1530
What Kind of Economists Do We Want? From a One-Track to a Two-Track Mind
We explore the challenges facing the current academic training of economists in small European countries like Sweden. The monolithic focus on publishing in the top-five journals, which prioritizes met…
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Working Paper No. 1529
Successful Entrepreneurs Come from the Top of the Earned Income Distribution
Identifying high growth startups ex-ante and fostering their success is an important policy challenge. Using Swedish registry data, we show that previous labor market earnings of entrepreneurs is a si…
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Working Paper No. 1528
Accounting Research in the Age of AI
Recent developments in artificial intelligence raise fundamental questions about the future of academic accounting research. By integrating core microeconomic principles, a wide range of theoretical p…
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Working Paper No. 1527
Nonparametric Tests for Perfect Competition: Theory and Application to the Nordic Wholesale Electricity Market
This paper develops a simple nonparametric test for perfect competition in markets for homogeneous goods. The method only requires data on prices and some aggregate of output. We then generalize the m…
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Working Paper No. 1526
Why a Tariff War May Not Decrease Global CO2 Emissions
It has been suggested that an intensified trade war between China and the US could reduce CO2 emissions associated with exports. We develop an export-greenfield-endogenous merger model, showing t…
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Working Paper No. 1525
EU Investment Treaties in the Geoeconomic Competition for EV Minerals
EU member state investment treaties have been criticized for potentially deterring EU countries from pursuing desirable policy measures. This paper explores whether these treaties can nonetheless serv…
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Working Paper No. 1524
The Impact of Firm-Influenced Vocational Education on Labor Market and Demographic Outcomes
This paper examines the impact of a Swedish policy allowing manufacturing firms to influence the curricula of local educational institutions. Our analysis shows that the program has contributed to a s…
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Working Paper No. 1523
Is Green Industrial Policy the Right Choice for the EU?
This paper critically evaluates the European Union’s shift towards large-scale green industrial policies. It highlights the risks of government-directed resource allocation, such as inefficiencies, mi…
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Working Paper No. 1522
The Role of Specialized Knowledge and ‘Know-How’ for Firm Productivity: Evidence from the Equine Industry
Using matched employer–employee data, we investigate the influence of human capital inputs on firm productivity. Several variables are used to measure firms’ access to skilled labor, such as their sha…
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Working Paper No. 1521
Coming Together or Coming Apart? Crises, Uncertainty and Tolerance
Uncertainty affects people in various ways. It is frequently found to hinder investment and production in the economic sphere. In this study, we examine the empirical relationship between uncertainty…
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Working Paper No. 1520
E-scooters and Traffic Accidents: Evidence from Staggered Roll-Out in Swedish Municipalities
The rapid rise of e-scooters (electric scooters) in cities around the world, boosted by the introduction of shared e-scooter services has visibly reshaped the way people move around cities, sparking b…
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Working Paper No. 1519
Not Just the Top Five Journals: A Recipe for European Economists
We provide a critical analysis of the adoption of the US ‘top-five model’ by European economics academia. This model prioritizes publications in five elite journals, heavily influencing the career tra…
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Working Paper No. 1518
Coup d’États, Institutional Change, and Productivity
Understanding the consequences and recovery for countries hit by adverse national events such as political crises is central to understanding long-run development dynamics. Utilizing the Coleman boat…
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Working Paper No. 1517
Pattern Bargaining as a Means to Coordinate Wages in the Nordic Countries
The various form of pattern bargaining with manufacturing, as representative of the tradables sector, deciding the norm for wage increases in the Nordic countries are reviewed. This form of bargaining…
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Working Paper No. 1516
Cities and the Rise of Working Women
We document that large cities were instrumental in shaping women’s work and family outcomes in the early 20th century. We focus on migrants to Stockholm, Sweden’s largest city, using representative, l…
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Working Paper No. 1515
Does Education Foster Civic-Minded Citizens? Evidence from a Compulsory Schooling Reform
We exploit education reforms in Sweden and other European countries to estimate the causal effects of longer and modernized compulsory education on civic engagement. In most countries, compulsory educ…
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Working Paper No. 1514
Neo-Schumpeterian Growth Theory: Missing Entrepreneurs Results in Incomplete Policy Advice
The neo-Schumpeterian growth models, which appeared in the early 1990s, have ostensibly reintroduced the entrepreneur into mainstream growth theory. However, we show that by ignoring genuine uncertain…
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Working Paper No. 1513
The Long-Term Effects of Early Sports Selection
This paper examines the long-term effects of early sports selection using a regression discontinuity design. I show that Swedish track and field athletes who qualified for a one-time appearance with t…
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Working Paper No. 1512
The Inc-Dec Game and How to Mitigate It
The power exchange and the real-time markets used by the system operator differ in how system constraints are managed. This can result in regulatory arbitrage, which can increase consumer costs, incre…
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Working Paper No. 1511
The Socioeconomics of Wind Power Expansion: Evidence from Sweden
We document the socioeconomics of wind power expansion in Sweden using two metrics. First, we compute the difference in socioeconomic status (SES) between residents exposed to wind power (0-2 km from…
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Working Paper No. 1510
How Has the War in Ukraine Affected Russian Sentiments?
We analyze the effects of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the partial military mobilization, and the Wagner Group rebellion on a broad set of sentiments in the Russian population, using the exogenous ti…
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Working Paper No. 1509
The Intergenerational Effects of Parental Incarceration
We estimate the causal effects of parental incarceration on children’s short- and long-run outcomes using administrative data from Sweden. Our empirical strategy exploits exogenous variation in parent…
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Working Paper No. 1508
The Effects of Electronic Monitoring on Offenders and their Families
Electronic monitoring (EM) has emerged as a popular tool for curbing the growth of large prison populations. Evidence on the causal effects of EM on criminal recidivism is, however, limited, and it is…
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Working Paper No. 1507
The Price of Exclusion: Coalition Formation in the Shadow of Rising Radical Right
The increasing electoral success of populist radical-right parties poses a significant challenge to established political parties in Western democracies. While mainstream parties often maintain a poli…
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Working Paper No. 1506
The Effect of an Anonymous Grading Reform for Male and Female University Students
This paper presents evidence that anonymous grading benefits female university students based on a university-wide reform. Female grades improve by 0.04-0.06 standard deviations relative to males, wit…
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Working Paper No. 1505
Stress-Testing a Quasi-Market: Unintended Consequences of the Swedish School Voucher System
Quasi-markets in the provision of public services are increasingly common but also highly contested. We formulate a conceptual framework based on economic theory to describe how quasi-markets differ f…
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Working Paper No. 1504
On Credibility and Causality in Economics: A Critical Appraisal
Borrowing ideas from the medical sciences, we propose tentative guidelines for reliable causal inferences that cover aspects related to both the study itself and its fit with background knowledge. We…
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Working Paper No. 1503
Heterogeneity and Persistence in Tax Responsiveness: Evidence from Owner-Managed Companies
We study responsiveness of owner-managed companies to a corporate income tax kink using Dutch tax records linking firms to their owners. The corporate taxable income elasticity (CETI) is 0.08, but tax…
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Working Paper No. 1502
Long-Term Trends in the Distribution of Wealth and Inheritance
This paper examines long-term trends in aggregate wealth and inheritance and in their distributions, focusing on developed economies. A key stylized fact is that wealth is less equally distributed tha…
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Working Paper No. 1501
AI, Automation, and Taxation
This chapter examines the implications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and automation for the taxation of labor and capital in advanced economies. It synthesizes empirical evidence on worker displacem…
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Working Paper No. 1500
Tolerating Losses for Growth: J-Curves in Venture Capital Investing
Startups face a trade-off between short-term profitability versus long-term growth. Their cash flows are said to follow a so-called J-curve. The shape of the curve depends on investor tolerance for pr…
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Working Paper No. 1499
The Growth Consequences of Socialism
The discussion of the growth consequences of socialism has fulminated for a century, sparked off by the Calculation Debate in the 1920s and 30s, and has concerned the performance of the Soviet Union i…
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Working Paper No. 1498
Individualism and Working from Home
This paper investigates the role of individualism in explaining cross-country differences in working from home (WFH). Using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS) of the United States and the E…
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Working Paper No. 1497
Immigrant Self-employment in Turbulent Times: A Decade with Refugee Crisis and the COVID-19 Pandemic
We examine immigrant self-employment in Sweden during 2011–2021 – a turbulent decade with a large influx of refugees into the country and the outbreak of the global COVID-19 pandemic. Four outcome var…
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Working Paper No. 1496
Investment Treaties and the Threat to Biodiversity
Protecting biodiversity will require the phase-out of harmful production at a large scale. However, some of these stranded investments will be foreign-owned, and can therefore be protected by the more…
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Working Paper No. 1495
Partial Retirement and Labor Supply: Evidence from Swedish Collective Bargaining Agreements
Aging populations strain pension systems, prompting policymakers to introduce partial retirement schemes to incentivize workers to retire later. I study the impact of introducing partial retirement wi…
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Working Paper No. 1494
Collectively Bargained Wages and Female Earnings: Evidence from Swedish Local Governments
This paper studies how a special wage increase for assistant nurses in Sweden affected income and employment. Workers in the public sector receive wages based on negotiations between unions and employ…
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Working Paper No. 1493
Financial Constraints and Cash Holdings in Private Firms: Evidence from Discontinuous Credit Ratings
We study how financing constraints affect the cash holdings of small and medium-sized enterprises. There has been little empirical work on this topic, even though these firms often face financial cons…
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Working Paper No. 1492
Top Income Taxation: Efficiency, Social Welfare and the Laffer Curve
This paper develops a comprehensive framework for analyzing the revenue, efficiency and social welfare implications of top income taxation. It generalizes the Saez (2001) formula for the optimal top t…
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Working Paper No. 1491
Populist Parties’ Popularity Post Power
Populist parties have grown rapidly in popularity in most European countries, and are increasingly common in government coalitions. Analyzing 183 populist parties in 33 European countries from 1980 to…
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Working Paper No. 1490
Infrastructure Expansion, Tourism, and Electoral Outcomes
This paper examines the electoral impact of increased foreign tourism, using data from Croatia. Exploiting exogenous variation in travel times to coastal municipalities from improved road infrastructu…
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Working Paper No. 1489
Incentivizing Innovative Entrepreneurship in Quasi-Markets: Theory and Evidence from Sweden’s Schools and Nursing Homes
This article discusses welfare quasi-markets, a promising yet under-explored area of study in entrepreneurship research. Many countries have implemented quasi-markets to enhance entrepreneurship and i…
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Working Paper No. 1488
Intergenerational Redistribution in a Pay-as-you-go Pension System
This study provides a comprehensive analysis of the generational wealth transfer within Sweden’s public pay-as-you-go pension system introduced in 1960. Using extensive administrative registers, the p…
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Working Paper No. 1487
Self-Employment among In-Movers and Stayers in Rural Areas: Insights from Swedish Register and Survey Data
Our use of longitudinal register data combined with a unique survey allows us to offer a more comprehensive picture of rural self-employment than in previous studies. We find that self-employed in rur…
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Working Paper No. 1486
Economic Freedom and Academic Freedom across Nations
Academic freedom is a cornerstone of modern academic life. It is not only implied by basic liberal principles but also contributes to scientific progress and economic growth. It is therefore important…
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Working Paper No. 1485
Labor Market Effects of a Youth Summer Employment Program in Sweden
We evaluate a non-targeted summer youth employment program (SYEP) for high school students aged 16–19 in Stockholm, Sweden, where public sector job offers were as good as randomly assigned. In contras…
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Working Paper No. 1484
Moonshots and the New Industrial Policy: Questioning the Mission Economy
The notion that society should be organized around large so-called missions has gained momentum in public debate, and the reemergence of active industrial policy across the world has been inspired by…
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Working Paper No. 1483
The EU’s Competitive Advantage in the 'Clean-Energy Arms Race'
The net-zero agreement on carbon emission from Paris 2015 gives a key role to fossil-free energy technologies with an expected multifold growth rate over the coming decades, when successively replacin…
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Working Paper No. 1482
The Working Capital Channel
Firms relying on working capital raise prices following monetary tightening, and this paper demonstrates that the working capital channel plays a key role in partial and general equilibrium inflation…
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Working Paper No. 1481
Paying with Personal Data
We study commercialization of personal data through personalized advertising by a content platform. Content consumption generates productive data about consumer preferences. The firm invests in artifi…
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Working Paper No. 1480
Type 1 Diabetes and Youth Sports in Sweden: A Field Experiment on Discrimination
This study evaluated discrimination against children with Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus (T1DM) in Swedish sports clubs through a field experiment. Two fictitious fathers sent emails to 193 top-division clu…
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Working Paper No. 1479
Investment Treaties and the Replacement of Stranded Investment
A common claim holds that investment treaties reduce the willingness of host countries to regulate foreign-owned, environmentally-stranded, investments. A counter-argument is that the treaties can yie…
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Working Paper No. 1478
Learning from Overrated Mission-Oriented Innovation Policies: Seven Takeaways
This paper integrates findings from several different case studies on Mission-Oriented Innovation Policies (MOIPs) and makes use of existing literature to briefly describe three other missions: The Wa…
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Working Paper No. 1477
Non-Financial Liabilities and Effective Corporate Restructuring
Many insolvency systems focus on restructuring financial liabilities, and ignore operational liabilities such as leases and long-termsupplier contracts. We model the U.S. option to reject such contrac…
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Working Paper No. 1476
Free to Improve? The Impact of Free School Attendance in England
We investigate the impact of attending a free school in England – that is, a new start-up school that enjoys considerable autonomy while remaining in the state sector. We analyse the effects of two se…
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Working Paper No. 1475
From Wall Street to Work Floor: How Private Equity Buyouts Affect Workers
Private equity buyouts have sparked debates among labor unions and worker representatives on how they affect workers. This chapter provides an overview of academic evidence on how private equity buyou…
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Working Paper No. 1474
Bottom-Up Policies Trump Top-Down Missions
Mission-oriented innovation policies are becoming increasingly popular among policymakers and scholars. We maintain that these policies are based on an overly mechanistic view of innovation and econom…
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Working Paper No. 1473
Freedom of Expression and Social Conflict
The association between freedom of expression – freedom of speech and the freedom of the media – and social conflict is theoretically ambiguous and politically highly contested. On one side of the deb…
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Working Paper No. 1472
Independent-School Competition and Sweden's Performance in TIMSS
This paper analyses the effects of independent-school competition on Sweden’s performance in TIMSS, an international low-stakes test in mathematics and science among students in year 8. Exploiting var…
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Working Paper No. 1471
Does Capitalism Disfavor Women? Evidence from Life Satisfaction
There is widespread concern, especially in certain feminist circles, that a market-oriented economic system, or capitalism, disfavors women. This could take many forms, such as lower wages for the sam…
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Working Paper No. 1470
Climate Policy and Trade in Polluting Technologies
This study estimates the impact of carbon pricing on international trade in equipment used in the combustion of fossil fuels during the period 1995–2021. Using detailed data on bilateral trade combine…
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Working Paper No. 1469
The Return of Borders in the World Economy: An EU-Perspective
This paper examines the European Union's changing perspective on globalization, reflecting a shift from its traditionally open, rules-based trade policy. The rise of internal protectionist measures, c…
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Working Paper No. 1468
The Profit Motive in the Classroom—Friend or Foe?
Can competition and the existence of profit-seeking actors in the school market improve educational quality? To see cost-efficient, long-term improvements, we identify the school system’s capacity for…
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Working Paper No. 1467
Wind Power and the Cost of Local Compensation Schemes: A Swedish Revenue Sharing Policy Simulation
Local resistance towards wind power is a central challenge for the energy transition, implying that legally imposed compensation schemes for nearby residents may become prevalent in the near future. I…
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Working Paper No. 1466
Navigating the New Normal: The European Union's Changing Stance on Globalization in the Era of Trade Conflicts
The European Union (EU) is becoming more inward looking and more hesitant towards globalization. This paper examines recent transformations in EU's economic policies, with a focus on international tra…
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Working Paper No. 1465
The Changed Geopolitical Map: Implications for Business Policy in a Sustainable Finance Perspective
The paper acknowledges the changed geopolitical map and the new adjacent political mindset and examines the current state of the relationship between MNEs and governments/central banks. The focus is o…
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Working Paper No. 1464
Wind Power Approval and Decentralization: Evidence from the Swedish Greens
Green parties are commonly seen as strong proponents of wind power. This paper presents an alternative view from Sweden’s highly decentralized institutional setup, where municipalities can veto wind p…
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Working Paper No. 1463
The Effect of Financial Constraints on Inventory Holdings
This paper investigates the impact of financial constraints on firms’ inventory holdings, an area of significant interest given that inventories are volatile over the business cycle. I use detailed da…
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Working Paper No. 1462
Inventors among the “Impoverished Sophisticate”
This paper examines the identity and origins of Swedish inventors prior to World War I drawing on the universe of patent records linked to census data. We document that the rise of innovation during S…
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Working Paper No. 1461
Family Firms: In All Shapes and Sizes
We study the heterogeneity of family firms using registry data on all private firms in Sweden. We restrict our sample to firms with at least one employee, and we define a family firm as a firm where t…
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Working Paper No. 1460
Multi-Unit Auctions with Uncertain Supply and Single-Unit Demand
We study multi-unit auctions where bidders have single-unit demand and asymmetric information. For symmetric equilibria, we identify circumstances where uniform-pricing is better for the auctioneer th…
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Working Paper No. 1459
The Different Returns to Cognitive Ability in the Labor and Capital Markets
We investigate the returns to cognitive ability in the labor and capital markets. Using population-wide Swedish military enlistment data and administrative tax records, we find that cognitive ability…
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Working Paper No. 1458
The Impact of Relative CEO Pay on Employee Productivity
In this study, we examine the relationship between within-firm pay inequality and employee productivity. We use hand-collected data on a sample of S&P 1500 companies from 2018-2022 and find a conc…
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Working Paper No. 1457
Importing Automation and Wage Inequality through Foreign Acquisitions
Is technology or trade driving increases in wage inequality? We propose that technology interacts with trade in the form of foreign direct investments to widen domestic wage inequality. We show that f…
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Working Paper No. 1456
The Effect of Centrally Bargained Wages on Firm Growth
I study how firms adapt to exogenous changes in labor costs induced by collective bargaining agreements. I use data on collective bargaining agreements in Sweden and study the impact of the nationwide…
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Working Paper No. 1455
Nonresponse Bias in Trust Surveys
Social trust is typically measured using surveys that ask people if they agree that most people can be trusted. A potential problem is that falling response rates plague these surveys. If non-response…
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Working Paper No. 1454
Why Big Data Can Make Creative Destruction More Creative – But Less Destructive
The application of machine learning (ML) to big data has become increasingly important. We propose a model where firms have access to the same ML, but incumbents have access to historical data. We sho…
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Working Paper No. 1453
How International Experience Helps Shape Labor Market Outcomes
This paper explores the influence of experience in foreign-owned firms on worker mobility, with a focus on Swedish companies acquired by foreign multinationals. We posit that international experience,…
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Working Paper No. 1452
Financing Constraints and Risk Management: Evidence From Micro-Level Insurance Data
We study the impact of financing constraints on corporate risk management. Using data on credit scores matched with unique information on firm level commercial insurance purchases, we find that financ…
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Working Paper No. 1451
Long-Run Effects of Technological Change: The Impact of Automation and Robots on Intergenerational Mobility
This paper investigates the impact of automation on intergenerational income mobility. Using Swedish register data from 1985 to 2019, we analyze how parental exposure to robots at the occupational lev…
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Working Paper No. 1450
Investment Treaty Reforms to Prevent Developing Country Regulatory Chill from Causing Global Warming
Developing countries have 1300+ investment treaties with developed countries. Investment treaties are often alleged to constrain developing country climate policies. This paper examines four treaty re…
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Working Paper No. 1449
Coups and Economic Crises
This paper explores whether coups cause increased crisis risk, and if some types of coups are associated with stronger risk. I use a worldwide sample with data on more than 1200 onsets of economic cri…
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Working Paper No. 1448
Aid and Child Health: Local Effects of Aid on Stunting in Malawi
Motivated by a recent setback in the fight against child malnutrition, this study explores whether aid projects help to reduce stunting, or impaired growth, among children in the local area. Focusing…
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Working Paper No. 1447
Immigrants’ Tolerance and Integration into Society
We highlight a new factor behind integration: tolerance in the immigrants’ background culture. We hypothesize that it is easier to partake of economic, civic-political, and social life in a new countr…
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Working Paper No. 1446
Consistent Subsets: Computing the Houtman-Maks Index in Stata
The Houtman-Maks index is a measure of the size of a violation of utility maximizing (i.e., rational) behavior. This note introduces the Stata command hmindex, which calculates the Houtman-Maks index…
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